Newsletter week 23: How to see around corners, Publisher’s Weekly editor looks back, how to see all your Amazon purchases at once, plus three people to follow, three books to read, and a chance to see your favorite ghosts in New York City in January. Be a presentist, not a futurist When I was an…
People believe there are two ways to accomplish something creative. The first is to beaver away for hours, weeks, months, making steady progress until you reach your goal. The other, of course, is to have the bolt-from-the-blue inspiration. A-ha! One moment you’re stuck, the next you have an incredible idea. But that’s wrong. How inspiration…
I learned early in my career as an analyst that if you can name an idea or a trend, you can own it. My employer Forrester made huge strides after one of its analysts, John McCarthy, coined the term “client-server computing.” And it’s also where John Kindervag invented the Zero Trust security model. This can…
As an expert, you should almost always have an answer to clients’ questions. And you should also be ready to acknowledge when you might be wrong. You must develop the skill of “open answers.” Playing “stump the analyst” When I was a technology analyst at Forrester, clients expected me to be answer any question within…
Nonfiction books are about ideas. If you’re considering writing a book, you must make sure your idea has four key qualities: it must be simple, big, new, and right. Let’s look at a popular recent book, Atomic Habits: Tiny Changes, Remarkable Results by James Clear, and show how it satisfies all four qualities. Book ideas…
I’m getting pretty sick of people who try things once and then become experts, ready to tell you how to do what they did. The internet is full of these pretenders. I have a bookshelf full of books of advice for authors, most of which are not worth the 25 minutes it would take to…
Sure, it sounds attractive to be a “thought leader.” You just hold yourself out as an expert on something and then post a lot on social media and wait for the speaking and consulting gigs come pouring in, right? Not quite. There are a lot of pretenders out there. And there are a lot of…
Let’s use a mathematical proof to understand the irrational, irrelevant, and distracting ways that people argue these days. Proof that the square root of two is irrational If you are math-phobic, be assured that the argument below is relatively painless. You might even enjoy it. The square root of 2, which we write as √2,…
In Sunday’s New York Times, Jeff Sommer complains that financial strategist forecasts for market returns are terrible. They are. But they are a little better than guessing. And they have value nonetheless. Sommer’s critique Sommer thinks the forecasts of economists and financial strategists are way off. Here’s his critique: [T]he stock and bond markets are swinging haphazardly,…