Our Lady of Small Sample Sizes, hear my prayer

Our Lady of Small Sample Sizes, hear my prayer

When we recently fielded the “AI and the Writing Profession” survey, I was delighted to be able to generate well over 1,400 responses. It’s not just bragging rights. Big samples are better in a lot of ways. I’ll explain why. Use caution in interpreting surveys with small and biased samples At Forrester Research, where I…

Modern thought leaders; the decline of thinking; search as entertainment: Newsletter 1 October 2025
|

Modern thought leaders; the decline of thinking; search as entertainment: Newsletter 1 October 2025

Newsletter 113. Principles for principled thought leadership. Plus, the value of “time under tension,” endless PR, three people to follow and three books to read. The thought leader’s pledge Nineteen years ago, my soon-to-be coauthor Charlene Li told me that our objective was to become “thought leaders.” That sounded pretty cool. I wasn’t much of…

The four kinds of experts and why you shouldn’t trust them

The four kinds of experts and why you shouldn’t trust them

Social media is full of experts. They all have opinions. But should you hire them for their expertise, and should you trust them to help you make decisions? The 2×2 shown here is a good way to think about them and their strengths and weaknesses. In the descriptions below, I refer to their “space”: the…

Data and truth; your brain on AI; authors on substack: Newsletter 23 July 2025

Data and truth; your brain on AI; authors on substack: Newsletter 23 July 2025

Newsletter 102. New truths from survey data, how AI twists writers’ minds, and Scholastic’s implosion, plus three people to follow and three books to read. Lies, damn lies, and statistics It’s pretty damn easy to create statistics these days. I know what I’m talking about. In 1996, I helped create and launch Technographics, Forrester’s survey…

Here’s what makes the difference between authors who want to change the world . . . and those who actually do
|

Here’s what makes the difference between authors who want to change the world . . . and those who actually do

You’re an author who wants to change the world. Just like every other author. Writing a book is a big effort. You think it’s worth it because you want to change the world. And I’m sure you’re right. Whatever the world is that you want to change — the world of partisan politics, the world…

Unsolicited advice
|

Unsolicited advice

No one wants unsolicited advice. Here’s what that means. No matter how brilliant you are and how perfectly suited your knowledge is to someone’s situation, your unsolicited advice will not help them. They will not listen. And they will resent you. What that looks like About weight loss. This is solicited advice: Your friend or…