I just voted in Portland, Maine. The line was long, the process took more than an hour. Everyone in line was polite and friendly, as were the poll workers. The weather, as is typical in Maine in the fall, was cool and humid. Just looking at people waiting in line, it appears there will be…
Early in my career, in my first management position, I was faced with a number of deadline-busting crises. The first few times, I panicked and freaked out. Having gotten that out of the way, I reverted to analytical thinking: what went wrong, why, what solution could best fix the problem, and how could we implement…
It’s no secret that the tensions between Democrats and Republicans in Congress have only gotten more intense. So I’m going to explore a topic that could very well come up after the November 5 election: could a president Kamala Harris be unable to get her cabinet confirmed, what constitutional options might she have in that…
Newsletter 66: Why polls captivate us; AI fails at reasoning; the valued discipline of writing, plus three people to follow, three books to read, and a free report on how business books generate revenue and profit. About that presidential horse race Why are we so fascinated with polls? Well, put that aside for a minute….
In an article by Tal Kopan published today, The Boston Globe asks “Why are election polls all over the place, and which should you pay attention to?” Here’s the lede: WASHINGTON — Vice President Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 3 percentage points in Michigan. Or maybe it’s by 1 point. Or maybe Trump leads by 2. Or 4. It…
My fellow authors: It has been a dark time in the world of books. Influencers and big-name keynote speakers have flooded our world. And publishers’ reputations continue to decline. But I’m here to promise you that, with my help, better days ahead. If you select me as your book coach, consultant, and consiglieri, your prayers…
Newsletter 64. Why progress requires embracing people’s right to be wrong. Plus the decline in publishing workers, Gucci vs. Lord & Taylor, three people to follow and three books to read. The freedom to be wrong We’ve gotten to a point where we rip people apart for being wrong, when we should be celebrating them….
No matter what poll-based content you read, you are not just reviewing what the data show. You are reading data, corrected for bias, weighted for lack of representation, scored for bias, aggregated, and then manipulated by a model. Each of these “corrections” is a human decision. These models are valuable, but they do not represent…
Who is “winning” the U.S. presidential race? No one is winning the race, because it depends on what people do on Election Day. There is no “ahead” or “behind.” It’s not like a basketball game where the team with a 20-point lead is far more likely to win, and the team with a 20-point deficit…